Due to varying levels of spread and uncertainty in the guidance, our team has decided not to pursue the incoming storm setup next week. There were a few factors behind our decision:

For one, a ridge is developing over the Rockies, which suppresses the setup of the trough ejection. The trough itself is not very amplified, which historically is not a positive sign for large-scale tornadic activity. Models, crucially the ECMWF and GFS, have struggled to nail down the dates of the greatest severe threat.

Additionally, this coincided with time-sensitive logistical and resource challenges that would have complicated a deployment on this event. We are, however, closely monitoring for the potential of other setups following this system.

Headings are cool

You can have many headings

Aren’t headings cool?